Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.000188 0.000210 0.000234 0.000261 0.000291 0.000325 0.000363
2025-01-12 0.000155 0.000185 0.000219 0.000260 0.000310 0.000367 0.000438
2025-01-19 0.000132 0.000167 0.000208 0.000261 0.000329 0.000411 0.000519
2025-01-26 0.000113 0.000149 0.000195 0.000258 0.000340 0.000446 0.000592
2025-02-02 0.000104 0.000143 0.000195 0.000269 0.000372 0.000508 0.000705
2025-02-09 0.000094 0.000135 0.000191 0.000273 0.000393 0.000558 0.000807
2025-02-16 0.000085 0.000127 0.000186 0.000276 0.000411 0.000606 0.000911
2025-02-23 0.000077 0.000118 0.000179 0.000276 0.000425 0.000648 0.001007
2025-03-02 0.000069 0.000109 0.000170 0.000271 0.000430 0.000676 0.001087
2025-03-09 0.000062 0.000102 0.000165 0.000269 0.000441 0.000713 0.001182
2025-03-16 0.000058 0.000097 0.000160 0.000269 0.000454 0.000755 0.001288
2025-03-23 0.000053 0.000092 0.000156 0.000270 0.000467 0.000798 0.001399
2025-03-30 0.000048 0.000086 0.000150 0.000266 0.000474 0.000833 0.001503
2025-04-06 0.000045 0.000082 0.000146 0.000266 0.000487 0.000878 0.001631
2025-04-13 0.000042 0.000078 0.000143 0.000268 0.000503 0.000932 0.001779
2025-04-20 0.000038 0.000073 0.000137 0.000264 0.000509 0.000967 0.001898
2025-04-27 0.000037 0.000073 0.000140 0.000276 0.000546 0.001063 0.002142
2025-05-04 0.000035 0.000070 0.000139 0.000280 0.000568 0.001133 0.002340
2025-05-11 0.000033 0.000068 0.000137 0.000283 0.000588 0.001199 0.002539
2025-05-18 0.000031 0.000065 0.000134 0.000283 0.000600 0.001253 0.002715
2025-05-25 0.000028 0.000061 0.000128 0.000277 0.000602 0.001284 0.002848
2025-06-01 0.000026 0.000058 0.000125 0.000276 0.000612 0.001332 0.003021
2025-06-08 0.000025 0.000056 0.000123 0.000276 0.000625 0.001390 0.003222